📊 Technical & Fundamental Analysis of ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) – July 2025


🔹 Company Overview


AI Stocks: ASML is a Dutch-based global leader in semiconductor manufacturing equipment, best known for its extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography systems — a crucial technology enabling the world’s most advanced chips. Its machines are used by top chipmakers like TSMC, Intel, and Samsung. ASML plays a central role in the supply chain of AI, mobile, and computing industries.
• Ticker: ASML
• Exchange: NASDAQ
• Sector: Technology
• Industry: Semiconductor Equipment & Materials
• CEO: Peter Wennink
• Headquarters: Veldhoven, Netherlands

📈 Current Price Snapshot (as of July 1, 2025)


• Last Closing Price: $1,114.75
• 52-Week Range: $563.22 – $1,142.80
• Market Cap: $440 Billion
• Average Daily Volume: 1.1M shares
ASML has nearly doubled over the last 12 months, reflecting rising global demand for advanced chips, geopolitical tailwinds, and supply constraints that increase pricing power.

🔸 Technical Structure


• Primary Trend: Strongly bullish since November 2024
• Short-Term Structure: Consolidating after breakout past $1,100
• Key Support Levels:
o $1,075 (former breakout zone + 21 EMA)
o $1,000 (psychological + 50-day MA)
• Key Resistance Levels:
o $1,142.80 (ATH)
o $1,200 (round-number extension level

🔸 Technical Indicators


• 200-Day MA: $852.50 – steady uptrend
• 50-Day MA: $1,011.40 – rising, confirms bullish strength
• 21 EMA: $1,092.30 – acting as short-term support
• RSI (Daily): 65 – close to overbought, signaling strength
• MACD: Bullish, momentum intact
• Volume: Gradual increase on breakout days, showing accumulation

🔸 Chart Patterns


• Cup & Handle Formation – breakout confirmed in mid-June
o Cup: Formed from Dec 2024 to May 2025
o Handle: Consolidation near $1,050
o Target: ~$1,230 if trend continues
• Flag forming on 4H chart above $1,100 — short-term bullish continuation setup

🔍 Fundamental Analysis


• Revenue (TTM): $32.5B (↑ 29% YoY)
• Net Income: $9.2B
• EPS: $23.75
• Operating Margin: 30%
• Free Cash Flow: $8.4B
ASML’s financial health remains exceptional, with a massive moat due to limited competition in the EUV lithography space. Backlog orders remain strong, and new facilities are being developed to meet rising chipmaker demand.

🔑 Strengths
• Monopoly-like position in advanced chip production tools
• Massive customer base including TSMC, Intel, Samsung
• Structural demand from AI, cloud, and automotive sectors
• Strong cash flow, high margins, and low debt
⚠️ Risks
• High valuation – susceptible to macro-driven selloffs
• Geopolitical exposure (China restrictions, export controls)
• Long product cycles and supply chain sensitivity

ASML

🔮 Key Scenarios


✅ Bullish Case:
• Continued demand from chipmakers, AI boom, and supply bottlenecks keep prices high
• Breakout above $1,143 → target $1,230–$1,250
• Q2 earnings or new contract announcements could serve as catalysts
⚠️ Bearish Case:
• Rejection near ATH + macro correction = pullback to $1,000
• Regulatory or export issues could impact new orders


📊 Technical & Fundamental Analysis of Qualcomm Inc. (QCOM) – July 2025

🔹 Company Overview


Qualcomm is a global leader in wireless technologies, best known for designing and licensing key technologies behind 3G, 4G, and 5G mobile communications. Its Snapdragon chipsets power billions of smartphones, tablets, IoT devices, and connected vehicles. As a key supplier for mobile, AI on edge, and 5G infrastructure, Qualcomm remains central to the global digital ecosystem.
• Ticker: QCOM
• Exchange: NASDAQ
• Sector: Technology
• Industry: Semiconductors & Wireless Equipment
• CEO: Cristiano Amon
• Headquarters: San Diego, California

📈 Current Price Snapshot (as of July 1, 2025)


• Last Closing Price: $178.40
• 52-Week Range: $104.25 – $182.10
• Market Cap: $200 Billion
• Average Daily Volume: 9.1M shares
Qualcomm stock has rebounded sharply since late 2024 on optimism around 5G upgrades, expanding automotive partnerships, and edge-AI opportunities, especially in wearables and IoT.

🔸 Technical Structure


• Primary Trend: Bullish since October 2024 bottom
• Short-Term Structure: Testing ATH zone around $182
• Support Levels:
o $170 (recent breakout level + 21 EMA)
o $160 (50-day MA + high-volume node)
• Resistance Levels:
o $182.10 (ATH)
o $190 (measured breakout target if ATH breaks)

🔸 Technical Indicators


• 200-Day MA: $142.70 — trending upward
• 50-Day MA: $161.90 — bullish momentum confirmed
• 21 EMA: $172.30 — holding as near-term support
• RSI (Daily): 64 — bullish zone
• MACD: Above zero, still positive
• Volume: Gradual build-up during rallies

🔸 Chart Patterns


• Ascending Triangle – forming since April 2025
o Flat resistance at $182
o Higher lows since May suggest pressure building
o Breakout target: ~$190–$195
• Inverse Head & Shoulders on weekly chart confirms structural reversal from mid-2024

🔍 Fundamental Analysis


• Revenue (TTM): $39.2B (↑ 10% YoY)
• Net Income: $9.3B
• EPS: $8.25
• Operating Margin: 26%
• Free Cash Flow: $6.7B
• Dividend Yield: 2.3%
Qualcomm remains a cash-generating giant with a highly scalable licensing model and dominance in mobile chips. The company is also rapidly expanding into automotive, AI on-device processing, and RF front-end markets — reducing its dependency on smartphones alone.

🔑 Strengths
• Massive IP portfolio — royalty revenue model is highly profitable
• Snapdragon chipsets dominate Android flagship phones
• Expanding into automotive chips and on-device AI
• Strong capital returns (dividends + buybacks)
⚠️ Risks
• Dependency on smartphone demand
• Regulatory scrutiny over licensing in some markets
• Competitive pressure from MediaTek, Apple silicon, and custom chips

🔮 Key Scenarios


✅ Bullish Case:
• Breakout above $182 → targets $190–$195
• Strong guidance for automotive and AI could fuel further upside
• Expansion into edge computing and AI accelerators boosts long-term growth
⚠️ Bearish Case:
• Drop below $170 → could trigger retest of $160
• Smartphone weakness or IP litigation headlines could cause pullbacks



📊 Technical & Fundamental Analysis of CrowdStrike Holdings Inc. (CRWD) – July 2025

🔹 Company Overview


CrowdStrike is a global cybersecurity leader specializing in cloud-delivered endpoint protection, threat intelligence, and real-time security analytics. Its Falcon platform uses AI to detect, prevent, and respond to cyber threats across endpoints, cloud workloads, and identities. With growing enterprise demand for cyber resilience and zero-trust security, CrowdStrike remains at the forefront of next-gen protection.
• Ticker: CRWD
• Exchange: NASDAQ
• Sector: Technology
• Industry: Cybersecurity
• CEO: George Kurtz
• Headquarters: Austin, Texas

📈 Current Price Snapshot (as of July 1, 2025)


• Last Closing Price: $386.20
• 52-Week Range: $139.37 – $397.15
• Market Cap: $92 Billion
• Average Daily Volume: 5.2M shares
CRWD has rallied over 150% from its 2023 lows, driven by explosive demand for cybersecurity, strong earnings beats, and market-wide AI enthusiasm.

🔸 Technical Structure


• Primary Trend: Very bullish (multi-month breakout since late 2023)
• Short-Term Structure: Approaching all-time highs
• Support Levels:
o $370 (21 EMA + recent consolidation zone)
o $340 (50-day MA + previous resistance)
• Resistance Levels:
o $397.15 (ATH)
o $420 (measured move target)

🔸 Technical Indicators


• 200-Day MA: $256.90 — steep upward slope
• 50-Day MA: $334.20 — strong support trend
• 21 EMA: $372.80 — holding well in pullbacks
• RSI (Daily): 66 — bullish, close to overbought
• MACD: Positive, bullish crossover intact
• Volume: Accumulation phase, especially on breakout attempts

🔸 Chart Patterns


• Ascending Channel: In place since January 2024
o Well-structured trend with consistent higher highs/lows
• Bull Pennant: Short-term breakout potential
o Flag forming between $370–$390
o Breakout target: ~$420–$430

🔍 Fundamental Analysis


• Revenue (TTM): $3.6B (↑ 32% YoY)
• Net Income: $420M
• EPS: $1.72
• Operating Margin: 12% (expanding rapidly)
• Free Cash Flow: $870M
CrowdStrike is transitioning from a high-growth tech stock to a profitable, scalable SaaS security powerhouse. Its land-and-expand model continues to gain traction across enterprise, mid-market, and government sectors.

🔑 Strengths
• AI-powered Falcon platform is industry-leading
• High customer retention and expansion rates (NRR > 120%)
• Strong growth in cloud and identity protection
• Profitable, with growing margins and cash flow
⚠️ Risks
• Elevated valuation may lead to sharp pullbacks during corrections
• Competitive space with Palo Alto Networks, Microsoft, and SentinelOne
• Potential customer spending delays in a tight macro environment

🔮 Key Scenarios


✅ Bullish Case:
• Break above $397 = blue-sky breakout toward $420+
• Strong Q2 earnings + cloud security demand = upside continuation
• Expansion into identity protection and MDR services adds long-term fuel
⚠️ Bearish Case:
• Breakdown below $370 = short-term retracement to $340
• Any miss on revenue or slowing net new ARR growth may trigger selling

CrowdStrike

🔚 Final Thoughts

July 2025 Snapshot on ASML, Qualcomm & CrowdStrike
In a tech-driven market increasingly shaped by AI, chip innovation, and digital security, ASML, Qualcomm, and CrowdStrike each present compelling opportunities—yet with distinct positioning and risk profiles.

🔷 ASML Holding N.V. (ASML)
ASML remains the backbone of global semiconductor advancement, holding a monopoly over EUV lithography systems critical to next-gen chip production. The stock’s technical structure shows healthy consolidation after reaching all-time highs, with support zones well-defined. Fundamentally, the company boasts powerful margins, strong R&D leadership, and long-term secular demand.
Bottom Line: A long-term growth machine riding the AI chip supercycle. Watch for breakouts above $1,130 as a signal of continued strength.

🔷 Qualcomm Inc. (QCOM)
Qualcomm has reemerged as a key player in the mobile and AI hardware renaissance, with its Snapdragon platforms powering billions of devices. Its technical chart shows a clean breakout from a 2-year base, and its fundamentals remain strong with high FCF and dividend yield. With growth accelerating in automotive chips and on-device AI, Qualcomm is evolving beyond just smartphones.
Bottom Line: A diversified semiconductor leader with strong income potential and technical momentum targeting $260+ in the medium term.

🔷 CrowdStrike Holdings Inc. (CRWD)
CrowdStrike continues to dominate the cybersecurity landscape with its cloud-native Falcon platform. Technically, the stock is in a sustained uptrend, flirting with new all-time highs. On the fundamentals side, the company is scaling profitably with impressive retention rates and expanding market share in identity and cloud protection.
Bottom Line: A high-momentum cybersecurity leader transitioning from growth to profitability — a strong candidate for breakout traders and long-term believers.

In July 2025, savvy traders are closely watching ASML, Qualcomm, and CrowdStrike, as each stock represents a distinct play in the broader technology megatrend. ASML remains a global monopoly in EUV lithography, underpinning advanced semiconductor fabrication for giants like TSMC and Intel. With its stock consolidating above $1,100 and forming a bullish flag, a breakout could propel it toward $1,230. Meanwhile, Qualcomm is benefiting from a renaissance in mobile, automotive, and edge-AI demand. Its ascending triangle around $182 signals growing bullish pressure, potentially launching the stock to $190+. CrowdStrike rounds out the trio as a cybersecurity leader transitioning into a cash-rich SaaS powerhouse, with bullish momentum building above $370.

These three stocks not only reflect technical strength but also long-term thematic exposure to AI, digital infrastructure, and security. For traders looking to master entry timing and manage risk in volatile environments, our in-depth guide on the Killzone Trading Strategy explains how to use session volatility for optimal setups. Additionally, check out the latest insights from Morningstar’s Technology Outlook, which offers an updated view on high-growth names across semis, cybersecurity, and cloud infrastructure. Together, these internal and external resources provide the perfect foundation for understanding market structure, timing, and conviction.


⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Always do your own research or consult with a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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